C.W. Copeland & Associates presents
THE WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE
June 21, 2010 |
QUOTE OF THE WEEK:
“The measure of success is not whether you have a tough problem to deal with,
but whether it is the same problem you had last year.”– John Foster Dulles
“The measure of success is not whether you have a tough problem to deal with,
but whether it is the same problem you had last year.”– John Foster Dulles
Minor deflation takes pressure off the Fed.
The Consumer Price Index retreated 0.2% for May, following a 0.1% decline in April. Energy prices fell 2.9% last month, leading the CPI downward. (Core CPI did advance 0.1% in May.) Across the last 12 months, the CPI has risen 2.0%, with core CPI up 0.9% - the smallest annual gains since 1966. While May’s wholesale prices were 5.3% above levels of a year ago, the Labor Department said that PPI fell 0.3% on the month, which was less than the 0.5% reduction forecast by economists polled by Reuters. Translation: the Federal Reserve has no compulsion to raise interest rates.1,2
The Consumer Price Index retreated 0.2% for May, following a 0.1% decline in April. Energy prices fell 2.9% last month, leading the CPI downward. (Core CPI did advance 0.1% in May.) Across the last 12 months, the CPI has risen 2.0%, with core CPI up 0.9% - the smallest annual gains since 1966. While May’s wholesale prices were 5.3% above levels of a year ago, the Labor Department said that PPI fell 0.3% on the month, which was less than the 0.5% reduction forecast by economists polled by Reuters. Translation: the Federal Reserve has no compulsion to raise interest rates.1,2
Will gold hit $1,300 this summer?
The precious metal got a little closer to that psychologically significant benchmark on Friday. Gold settled at a new record close - $1,258.30 an ounce. Since the end of 2009, gold prices have gained almost 15%.3
The precious metal got a little closer to that psychologically significant benchmark on Friday. Gold settled at a new record close - $1,258.30 an ounce. Since the end of 2009, gold prices have gained almost 15%.3
As tax credits expire, housing starts decelerate.
In real estate, the year-over-year numbers often tell the real story, rather than the “weather” indicated by the month-to-month statistics. So we should be encouraged by the fact that May’s housing starts were 7.8% above May 2009 levels. Still, they were down 10.0% from April to their lowest level in five months. The Commerce Department also reported 17.2% fewer permits for single-family home construction in May.4
In real estate, the year-over-year numbers often tell the real story, rather than the “weather” indicated by the month-to-month statistics. So we should be encouraged by the fact that May’s housing starts were 7.8% above May 2009 levels. Still, they were down 10.0% from April to their lowest level in five months. The Commerce Department also reported 17.2% fewer permits for single-family home construction in May.4
Industrial output & leading indicators rise.
Factory production went north by 1.2% for May. The Conference Board’s leading indicators index gained 0.4% for May after a flat April. Across the last six months, the CB index has seen 3.9% growth.2,5
Factory production went north by 1.2% for May. The Conference Board’s leading indicators index gained 0.4% for May after a flat April. Across the last six months, the CB index has seen 3.9% growth.2,5
Stocks move back into positive territory.
The S&P 500 closed the week at 1,117.51, the DJIA at 10,450.64 and the NASDAQ at 2,309.80. All three marqueeU.S.
The S&P 500 closed the week at 1,117.51, the DJIA at 10,450.64 and the NASDAQ at 2,309.80. All three marquee
% Change | Y-T-D | 1-YR CHG | 5-YR AVG | 10-YR AVG | R I D D L E O F T H E W E E K | |
DJIA | +0.22 | +22.15 | -0.32 | -0.10 | A man claims he was 88 years old two days ago, and yet he also tells you that he will turn 91 next year. How can this be? | |
NASDAQ | +1.79 | +27.77 | +2.10 | -4.21 | ||
S&P 500 | +0.22 | +19.09 | -1.63 | -2.48 | ||
Real Yield | 6/18 | 1 YR AGO | 5 YRS AGO | 10 YRS AGO | ||
10YrTIPS | 1.25% | 1.98% | 1.72% | 4.34% | ||
(usatoday.com, bigcharts.com, ustreas.gov, bls.gov, 6/18/10)6,7,8,9 Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. | Contact my office or see next week’s Update for the answer! | |||||
Last week’s riddle: Four cars approach an intersection with four-way stop signs simultaneously, each car coming from a different direction. After stopping, the drivers all accelerate at the same time. However, there is no accident. How is this possible?
Last week’s riddle answer: All four cars make right turns.
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Citations.
2 – cnbc.com/id/37725637/ [6/16/10]
3 – cnbc.com/id/37768097 [6/18/10]
5 – marketwatch.com/story/may-leading-indicators-rise-slower-growth-seen-2010-06-17-104400 [6/17/10]
6 - usatoday.com/money/default.htm [6/18/10]
7 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=DJIA&close_date=6%2F18%2F09&x=0&y=0 [6/18/10]
7 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=COMP&close_date=6%2F18%2F09&x=0&y=0 [6/18/10]
7 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=SPX&close_date=6%2F18%2F09&x=0&y=0 [6/18/10]
7 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=DJIA&close_date=6%2F17%2F05&x=0&y=0 [6/18/10]
7 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=COMP&close_date=6%2F17%2F05&x=0&y=0 [6/18/10]
7 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=SPX&close_date=6%2F17%2F05&x=0&y=0 [6/18/10]
7 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=DJIA&close_date=6%2F19%2F00&x=0&y=0 [6/18/10]
7 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=COMP&close_date=6%2F19%2F00&x=0&y=0 [6/18/10]
7 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=SPX&close_date=6%2F19%2F00&x=0&y=0 [6/18/10]
8 - ustreas.gov/offices/domestic-finance/debt-management/interest-rate/real_yield_historical.shtml [6/18/10]
Regards,
C.W. Copeland
"Your Personal CFO"
C.W. Copeland & Associates
Lifestyle Management Advisors
3401 Norman Berry Drive
Suite 253
East Point, GA 30344
404.567.3275 (direct)
404.601.9534 (fax)
www.PhDinMoney.com
"Your Personal CFO"
C.W. Copeland & Associates
Lifestyle Management Advisors
3401 Norman Berry Drive
Suite 253
East Point, GA 30344
404.567.3275 (direct)
404.601.9534 (fax)
www.PhDinMoney.com
Securities offered through Resource Horizons Group, L.L.C.
Member FINRA, SIPC
Advisory services offered through Resource Horizons Investment Advisory
1350 Church St. Ext. Third Floor
Marietta, GA 30060
Office 770 319-1970
Member FINRA, SIPC
Advisory services offered through Resource Horizons Investment Advisory
1350 Church St. Ext. Third Floor
Marietta, GA 30060
Office 770 319-1970
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